Gold in 2019: A New Bull Market Forming?
The Tides They Are a-Changin’”: This slightly adjusted title of Bob Dylan’s famous song is a fitting opening to our summary of this year’s In Gold we Trust report.
Quantitative tightening, de-dollarization, and cryptocurrencies seem to be echoing the strains of R.E.M.’s “It’s the End of the World as We Know It”. Whether we find this changing of the tide good or bad is of no relevance to the phenomenon itself.
What is unfolding will affect our lives either way. But the better we brace ourselves for these fundamental changes, the more we will be able to benefit from them. The key findings may be summarized in terms of the following three changings of the tide:
- Change of tide in monetary policy: From QE to QT (and back again?)
- Change of tide in the global monetary order: De-Dollarization
- Change of tide in technology: Cryptocurrencies: Friends or foes of gold?
About Ronald-Peter Stöferle, Incrementum Funds
Ronald, born 1980 in Vienna, Austria, is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe). During his studies in business administration and finance at the Vienna University of Economics and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, he worked for Raiffeisen Zentralbank (RZB) in the field of Fixed Income/Credit Investments. After graduation, he participated in various courses in Austrian Economics.
In 2006, he joined Vienna-based Erste Group Bank, covering International Equities, especially Asia. In 2006, he also began writing reports on gold. His six benchmark reports called ‘In GOLD we TRUST’ drew international coverage on CNBC, Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times. He was awarded 2nd most accurate gold analyst by Bloomberg in 2011. In 2009, he began writing reports on crude oil. Ronald managed 2 gold-mining baskets as well as 1 silver-mining basket for Erste Group, which outperformed their benchmarks from their inception. In 2014 he published a book on Austrian Investing (“Österreichische Schule für Anleger – Investieren zwischen Inflation in Deflation”)